December 20, 2007 - 3:33am
News

Huckabee's Jersey supporters find warmth amidst national Huckaboom

Seated at two tables pushed together in a diner in Scotch Plains, the core of presidential candidate Mike Huckabee's New Jersey supporters plan their next move.

"We've got to be relentlessly positive," says Huckabee for President 2008 lead organizer Peter Kane of Summit. It's a message to which the group immediately responds because most of them say they like Huckabee because he hasn't gone negative in Iowa, and because he just generally projects likeability.

Some of these people gathered signatures for Huckabee, helping to submit 2,300 here in New Jersey or 1,300 more than what the state requires, and now they're ready for the next challenges: busing up to New Hampshire to volunteer for the campaign, writing letters to the editor, or convincing friends and relatives to back their man.

"Very few of New Jersey's Republican Congressional delegation have declared their support for a presidential candidate, and we're reaching out to them," says Kane, a senior vice president at CitiGroup who worked for the Dole campaign in Iowa in the 1996 election, and spent three days with Huckabee in the summer before committing to the former governor of Arkansas.

A Dec. 13th Quinnipiac University presidential poll puts Huckabee in third place in New Jersey at 7% among registered Republicans: 31 points behind front-runner Mayor Rudy Giuliani, five points behind Sen. John McCain, and a point in front of former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney. It doesn't look like much outright, but considering that Huckabee was at 1% in the same poll a month ago, his supporters read it as good news, and evidence that his surge in Iowa has helped him in New Jersey.

Still, "The Huckabee factor is minor in the Republican race," says Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But Giuliani has slipped 10 points among Republicans and those votes seem to have bypassed McCain and gone to Gov. Huckabee."

Kane offers another New Jersey poll, released by Rasmussen on Tuesday, which shows Sen. Hillary Clinton leading Giuliani 50% to 37%, and leading Huckabee, 51% to 34%.

"It's significant that he fares just as well in a matchup with Hillary Clinton as Giuliani," says the organizer.

As Kane talks to the troops, in the background on a suspended television set Bill O'Reilly says something about Huckabee and as she pours coffee and maneuvers around a campaign lawn sign that Kane has planted beside the table, the waitress grumbles and the only word that's audible is "Huckabee."

All of this in a Route 22 atmosphere that can hardly be called Huckabee Country, in gritty Union County, where these people nonetheless don't have a problem backing a Southern Baptist reverend, who's the current GOP frontrunner in Iowa and polling well nationally.

These are family values conservatives, who for seven years searched in vain to find the compassionate conservative they thought they voted for in George W. Bush, who now believe they finally found the humble warrior they once believed was W.

"When I started watching the Republican and Democratic debates I liked Huckabee because he seemed to me to be the only one speaking from his heart," says Duncan Szeto of Montville. "I think he could unite the nation."

It's a small group of seven New Jerseyans, two of whom were Fred Thompson supporters until what they observed as the former senator's sluggishness on the campaign trail propelled them into the Huckabee camp.

"Although I like his ideas, he doesn't have the energy to go all the way," Jim Wolbert of Garfield says of Thompson.

In the same Quinnipiac Poll for New Jersey, Thompson went from 12% in October, to 4% last week.

Weakened by Huckabee's breakout in Iowa, Romney this week chopped at his rival's economic record over the course of his two terms in Arkansas, arguing that Huckabee had been the steward of tax hikes equaling "hundreds of billions of dollars."

Republican strategist Rick Shaftan of Sparta says Romney has a point.

"Christie Whitman," are the two words he offers in response to a question about Huckabee's conservative credentials, citing the former governor's propensity for issuing pardons and his slack stance on illegal immigration. "Essentially, Huckabee's a pro-life liberal," says Shaftan.

But Huckabee's supporters say their candidate's arrived in first place with far less money than Romney, who in the third quarter raised $18.4 million and is almost $17 million in debt, while Huckabee raised a little over a million and is under $50,000 in debt.

"That right there says if he can run his campaign fiscally smart, he can run the country the same way," says Vicky Jakelsky of Flemington.

Invoking the American Revolution is a common oratorical tactic in Jersey amid the rust colored historical markers strewn across the state, and most every presidential campaign this year sees itself as a ragtag, shivering army shouldering backpacks with laptops in them instead of muskets and powder kegs.

Newark Mayor Cory Booker peppers his Obama speeches with references to Newark's Trinity Churchyard; Murray Sabrin and Joe Fisher stood under an American Revolution statue in Fort Lee last week and proclaimed the Ron Paul revolution; and GOP operative Tom Fitzsimmons on the campaign trail last October repeatedly said Sen. Ellen Karcher and her trusted band of Monmouth County Democrats were like the Hessians.

This evening proves no exception as Kane closes with an allusion to the Continental Army's surprise attack on Hessian headquarters in Trenton in 1776, likening his candidate to a certain tricorn hatted hero forging the Delaware.

"I think Huckabee is as much is as much a leader as Washington was," Kane says. "I'd be proud to paddle his boat anytime."

But a few minutes after the speech a man who sees the Huckabee lawn sign walks over to the table of supporters and wants to know about the cross in the candidate's Christmas season ad in which Huckabee intones, "What we really celebrate is the birth of Christ."

"It's a book shelf," Kane tells the man.

"Coincidence or not?" the man wants to know.

Even as that conversation is going on in the background, Huckabee supporter Jonathan Caplan of Edison appears ready for the requisite Baptist question.

"I'm an orthodox Jew," he answers. "I'm comfortable with that. Religion is treated as anathema in this country. The fact that he's a religious man is a threat to people. I don't think it should be.

Moments later, Jakelsky refers to the group as "y'all," and that begs another inevitable question: Is she a southern belle transplanted to Jersey and is that why she supports Huckabee?

"I lived in Oklahoma and North Carolina,' she says. "But I'm from here. Everyone here thinks politicians should be shrewd, but the rest of the country doesn't think that."

Like Wolbert, Steve Harlan of North Plainfield initially thought he would be standing with Thompson at this point but doesn't like the way the former Tennessee senator resorted to negative attacks against Huckabee and Romney in an attempt to keep his sagging campaign upright.

"The negativity turned me off completely," says Harlan.

But not everyone in Scotch Plains seems convinced of Huckabee's particular public virtues.

"I'd rather have Bush back than vote for Huckabee," says a waitress, a Jersey diehard by the looks of her who at this point doesn't trust politicians - least of all so-called nice guys.

"Bush screwed America," she says with a shrug. "With him I know I'm getting screwed. Completely screwed. These other guys, I don't know what I'm getting."

Carol Nelson of White Horse, shy, glasses, middle-aged - who never felt inspired before Huckabee to get involved in politics, and collected 100s of signatures to get her candidate on the ballot in Jersey, more than anyone else at the meetup - accepts a wrapped gift from Kane for her efforts.

"People who are unfriendly to us pigeonhole Gov. Huckabee," says Kane. "But this is a Republican governor who was re-elected in Arkansas with 30% of the African American vote, who talks passionately about music and arts education in the schools. This is someone with incredible sincerity."

Max Pizarro is a PolitickerNJ.com Reporter and can be reached via email at max@politicsnj.com.

Comments

Huckaboom


You cannot not like this guy. He is always a gentleman and they are attacking him for being a religious person. Is the still America?

The rest of the people are dropping in the polls because they are afraid of Huck and act angry by attacking rather than looking the people in the eye and articulate their own positions.

A couple of days ago Ron Paul on Fox & Friends suggested that Huck was a fascist by referring to the Christmas ad he says, "When fascism comes to America it will be cloaked in the Flag and carrying a Cross." quoting Sinclair Lewis.

Huckabee will be the Republican Nomination. The more he moves to the top of the pile the more nasty his competition will get, and the faster his competition will fall. America is fed up with negative campaigns and Mike Huckabee is refreshing.

 

 

"The State is great fiction by which everyone seeks to live at the expense of everyone else." Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850)

Read "The Law" by Frederic Bastiat available at www.fee.org

12/20/07 7:27 am

Nice Guy


Its not enough to be a nice guy.  Huck's numbers are beginning to slide in iowa and for good reason.  The last two polls in iowa ahow he's fallen back into a tie w/ Romney.  My fear with Huck is that he's too nice of a guy.  1,033 pardons/commutations while governor, including 12 murderers?  How about that Wayne Dumond? 

Oh yeah, the state budget in AR nearly tripled while he was in office.  How about his record on illegal immigration?  Tax payer funded college tuition breaks for illegals?  Compassionate Conservative?  Too much compassion with the people's money, not enough conservatism.

12/20/07 7:54 am

Mike Huckabee


I pretty much agree with SJGOP on this one. It's not enough to simply be a nice guy. That's how we ended up getting stuck with Jimmy Carter for four years.

I think that Huckabee has pretty much gotten as popular as he's going to get and on top of that, he's starting to run low on cash. He could win Iowa and perhaps two or three other states but that's it. He will not win New Hampshire where all of a sudden, John McCain is sneaking up from behind Mitt Romney in Romney's own backyard where he should have a forty point lead in the polls like Rudy has in New Jersey.

In the end however, I think that Huckabee would be a very viable VP candidate.

"How do we beat the bitch?"

12/20/07 8:54 am

...still think the nod goes to McCain


You heard it here first...

12/20/07 9:13 am

Why Not?


The Republicans might just pick another unprepared Governor who believes in Creationism and unbalanced budgets for their candidate. But, Gov. Mike seems an improvement over the other appalling choices that a critical mass of Republicans are clearly rejecting.

The notion that a lack of international experience counts is belied by the experience we (and our troops) have endured at the hands, if not minds, of Bush's NeoCon "experts." As well, someone with a good heart, reasonable intelligence and a conciliatory approach would be a real step up for the GOP.

 

And, yes, you can't help but like this guy. Huckabee is the Republican Obama (without, apparently, Mr. Obama's intellectual and conceptual chops).

 

12/20/07 10:05 am

Huckabee's credentials as a fiscal conservative


Interesting excerpt from an article by Dick Morris:

"As Mike Huckabee rises in the polls, an inevitable process of vetting him for conservative credentials is under way in which people who know nothing of Arkansas or of the circumstances of his governorship weigh in knowingly about his record.

As his political consultant in the early '90s and as one who has been following Arkansas politics for 30 years, let me clue you in: Mike Huckabee is a fiscal conservative.

A recent column by Bob Novak excoriated Huckabee for a "47 percent increase in state tax burden." But during Huckabee's years in office, total state tax burden — all 50 states combined — rose by twice as much: 98 percent, increasing from $743 billion in 1993 to $1.47 trillion in 2005.

In Arkansas, the income tax when he took office was 1 percent for the poorest taxpayers and 7 percent for the richest, exactly where it stood when he left the statehouse 11 years later. But, in the interim, he doubled the standard deduction and the child care credit, repealed capital gains taxes for home sales, lowered the capital gains rate, expanded the homestead exemption, and set up tax-free savings accounts for medical care and college tuition.

Most impressively, when he had to pass an income tax surcharge amid the drop in revenues after Sept. 11, 2001, he repealed it three years later when he didn't need it any longer.

He raised the sales tax one cent in 11 years and did that only after the courts ordered him to do so. (He also got voter approval for a one-eighth cent hike for parks and recreation.)

He wants to repeal the income tax, abolish the IRS, and institute a "fair tax" based on consumption, and he opposes any tax increase for Social Security.

And he can win in Iowa."

12/20/07 10:12 am

Bodoc


What is your evidence for Evolution?

The difference between Evolution and Creation is that Evolution can be disproved. Russia laughs at us because we teach Evolution even with all the proof that it does not exist.

The problem is the NEA in charge of education is only interested in salary, pension, health insurance, sick days, personal days, vacations, and extra pay for after school activities. Teachers are not capable of challenging junk science because it could cost them their job, so they spew ignorance to a captured audience, raising a generation of misinformed people.

Our nation has to go to Russia, China, India and Pakistan for our scientist because we cannot meet the demand.

 

"The State is great fiction by which everyone seeks to live at the expense of everyone else." Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850)

Read "The Law" by Frederic Bastiat available at www.fee.org

12/20/07 2:42 pm

I don't think it appropriate...


to teach remedial science on a New Jersey political website.

That being said, try this as a start, sir: Evidence of Common Descent http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evidence_of_evolution

The study of Paleontology, Genetics, Physiology, Biochemistry, etc inform the conclusion that we, and the species on this planet, were not born yesterday nor less than 6,000 years ago. 

The Russians aren't laughing.  They suffered through Stalinists forcing anti-Darwin ideologically enforced Lysenko/Lamarckian biology on them.  

Ironically, this shows the essential identity of faith-based dogmatism -- be it secular or religious -- screwing up progress and society.

Back to the discussion:

Haven't we had enough of leaders who live in a "faith-based reality" while our troops, ourselves and others suffer in reality-based-reality?

 

 

 

12/21/07 5:02 pm

Destroying the GOP


The Huckster is ripping the seams of the GOP.  He is a big government liberal wrapped in the cloak of Christianity.  He is destroying the Republican evangelical base in his quest to be VP.

Reading - http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0204/p09s02-coop.html.

Shalom,
Laus Deo,
Jesse O. Kurtz
Managing Editor for The Atlantic City Scoop
http://cityofatlantic.wordpress.com
Jesseokurtz@gmail.com

 

02/05/08 10:49 am