In Blue State New Jersey, Republican candidates for statewide office have not approached election day with approval ratings over 34% in the last five years. Quinnipiac University polling had Douglas Forrester at 32-25 on 11/2/05, Forrester at 34-25 on 10/23/02, Bret Schundler at 30-30 on 10/30/01, and Bob Franks at 34-16 on 11/6/00. In the '05 gubernatorial race, Jon Corzine's pre-election approvals were at 41-31; Frank Lautenberg was at 45-30 in 2002, and James E. McGreevey was at 41-24 in 2001. The last time a Republican won statewide in New Jersey was in 1997, when Christie Whitman's pre-election approvals were at 40-29 and McGreevey's were at 21-18.
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